Benny and the Bets: Time for top players to put an end to longshot trend

In a bold and candid piece, Ben Everill from Golfbet News advocates for an end to the trend of longshot winners dominating the PGA TOUR this season. While acknowledging the charm and excitement of unpredictable outcomes, Everill suggests that it's time for the top players to reclaim their dominance and provide bettors with a more predictable betting landscape.

He highlights the surprising victories of underdogs like Nick Dunlap, Matthieu Pavon, and Austin Eckroat, emphasizing that while these victories are commendable, they make it extremely challenging for bettors to predict outcomes accurately.

Despite recognizing the achievements of these unexpected winners, Everill calls for a shift in the trend, urging the favorites and top-ranked players to step up and assert their dominance on the tour once again.

He acknowledges that while some of the longshot winners have impressive credentials, such as major champions like Hideki Matsuyama, others have been genuine surprises, making it nearly impossible for bettors to predict their success.

Everill also includes insights from Thomas Gable, the Director of Race & Sportsbook at The Borgata in New Jersey, who acknowledges that while the trend of longshot winners has been profitable for sportsbooks, it may not be sustainable in the long run.

As he looks ahead to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Everill identifies potential contenders based on statistical trends and course characteristics. He narrows down the field to players with strong performances at Bay Hill in previous years and those who excel in critical aspects like strokes gained: approach and bogey avoidance.

For outright picks, Everill selects Jason Day and Jordan Spieth, citing their past success at Bay Hill and their ability to navigate the course effectively. He also recommends Will Zalatoris and Matt Fitzpatrick for place markets, considering their consistent performances and suitability for the course conditions.

While Everill acknowledges the allure of longshot picks, he advises caution and suggests focusing on contenders with a proven track record and favorable course fit. He concludes by mentioning Corey Conners and Keegan Bradley as potential longshots for bettors seeking higher odds.

Overall, Everill's piece provides valuable insights for golf bettors, urging them to strike a balance between taking calculated risks and relying on established contenders to enhance their chances of success in a volatile betting landscape.