Seven intriguing FedExCup probabilities heading into East Lake
With the FedExCup Playoffs reaching their climax at the TOUR Championship, the FedExCup champion is yet to be determined. The Starting Strokes format adds a layer of unpredictability to the competition, and statistical simulations have been run to assess the probabilities for the top contenders. Here are seven intriguing storylines for the upcoming event at East Lake:
Scottie Scheffler
- FedExCup Starting Strokes: -10
- FedExCup Win Probability: 38.4%
Scottie Scheffler's exceptional ball-striking performance throughout the season has put him in a strong position. He aims to finish with a Greens in Regulation average of 75% or better, a feat not achieved since Tiger Woods in 2000.
Viktor Hovland
- FedExCup Starting Strokes: -8
- FedExCup Win Probability: 10.3%
Viktor Hovland's impressive back-nine performance last week, with a score of 28, marked a rare accomplishment. He looks to continue his strong play at East Lake, where he finished tied for fifth two years ago.
Rory McIlroy
- FedExCup Starting Strokes: -7
- FedExCup Win Probability: 18.3%
Rory McIlroy's consistent top-ten finishes and exceptional putting at East Lake make him a strong contender. His streak of 28 consecutive rounds of par or better is the longest on the PGA TOUR.
Jon Rahm
- FedExCup Starting Strokes: -6
- FedExCup Win Probability: 12.4%
Jon Rahm's history of strong first-round performances at East Lake sets him up well. He seeks to improve upon his second-place finish from last year.
Lucas Glover
- FedExCup Starting Strokes: -5
- FedExCup Win Probability: 0.6%
Lucas Glover's improved putting performance and strong ball-striking have propelled him to a career renaissance. He aims to continue his success at East Lake.
Max Homa
- FedExCup Starting Strokes: -4
- FedExCup Win Probability: 2.1%
Max Homa, fresh from qualifying for the Ryder Cup, looks to build on his strong putting performance from last year's TOUR Championship. He has become one of the top putters on the PGA TOUR.
Xander Schauffele
- FedExCup Starting Strokes: -3
- FedExCup Win Probability: 2.4%
Xander Schauffele's historical success at East Lake, combined with his consistent performance in previous TOUR Championships, puts him in the mix for a strong finish.
As the field competes at East Lake with the unique Starting Strokes format, each player has a mathematical chance to win the FedExCup, promising an exciting and unpredictable conclusion to the 2022-23 PGA TOUR season.
Source: Stats Report
